Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.573349e-04 0.000179 0.000202 0.000228 0.000255 0.000283 0.000315
2025-01-19 1.081277e-04 0.000140 0.000175 0.000217 0.000264 0.000315 0.000376
2025-01-26 8.331243e-05 0.000119 0.000161 0.000214 0.000275 0.000344 0.000427
2025-02-02 6.658963e-05 0.000105 0.000152 0.000212 0.000286 0.000370 0.000474
2025-02-09 5.273557e-05 0.000091 0.000142 0.000208 0.000292 0.000390 0.000512
2025-02-16 4.476624e-05 0.000085 0.000138 0.000212 0.000306 0.000419 0.000561
2025-02-23 3.734663e-05 0.000077 0.000134 0.000213 0.000317 0.000443 0.000604
2025-03-02 3.076841e-05 0.000070 0.000128 0.000213 0.000325 0.000464 0.000642
2025-03-09 2.845347e-05 0.000069 0.000132 0.000224 0.000348 0.000502 0.000703
2025-03-16 2.407014e-05 0.000065 0.000129 0.000226 0.000358 0.000525 0.000744
2025-03-23 2.101524e-05 0.000061 0.000128 0.000230 0.000372 0.000553 0.000792
2025-03-30 1.780557e-05 0.000057 0.000125 0.000232 0.000383 0.000576 0.000833
2025-04-06 1.334391e-05 0.000050 0.000117 0.000226 0.000383 0.000586 0.000860
2025-04-13 8.956211e-06 0.000042 0.000106 0.000215 0.000376 0.000588 0.000875
2025-04-20 6.493771e-06 0.000037 0.000101 0.000212 0.000379 0.000602 0.000907
2025-04-27 4.727753e-06 0.000033 0.000097 0.000211 0.000385 0.000620 0.000943
2025-05-04 3.137526e-06 0.000029 0.000091 0.000207 0.000387 0.000632 0.000972
2025-05-11 2.412918e-06 0.000027 0.000091 0.000211 0.000399 0.000659 0.001020
2025-05-18 1.684326e-06 0.000025 0.000089 0.000212 0.000408 0.000680 0.001061
2025-05-25 1.068865e-06 0.000023 0.000086 0.000211 0.000414 0.000698 0.001097
2025-06-01 9.791738e-07 0.000023 0.000089 0.000223 0.000438 0.000740 0.001166
2025-06-08 6.262110e-07 0.000021 0.000088 0.000224 0.000447 0.000762 0.001209
2025-06-15 4.295980e-07 0.000020 0.000088 0.000229 0.000461 0.000791 0.001260